Vote Anti Incumbent

Barron’s magazine it their twice a year poll of big money mangers asks “Do you expect the Republicans to recapture control of the Senate, House of Representatives, both or neither in the November 2010 mid-term elections?

The big money managers polled replied “Neither” as the mostly likely.  Only 14% think the Republicans would recapture the Senate and only 26% think the Republicans will recapture the House.

However looking further down the line, when asked “Do you expect President Barack Obama to win re-election in November 2012, only 35% replied Yes, and 65% replied No.

The final question of Politics was “Who will be the Republican candidate for November 2012?  Mitt Romney is the choice of35%, Sarah Palin on 5%, and Mitch Daniels 4%.

This is interesting poll results from the big money managers.   I don’t know if they have a good track record in political predictions or not, but I know a lot of money is riding of the politics and they seems to know their money.  Article.

More Anti Incumbent

On the Wilson Research Strategies and The Hill Ad Review - Blog they have written a post  titled “The Coming Anti-Incumbent Wave”. see post

The author starts out “Before Republicans start rejoicing about a political environment that favors them in 2010, they should consider that their incumbents aren’t immune from the growing anti-incumbent sentiment.  Voters are certainly upset about government spending.  That can be interpreted as a growing distaste for cap and trade, Obama’s health care reform, and even the stimulus.  But, when voters are mad with their government, they have a tendency to blame all incumbents - not just Democrats.”

You know, that is an excellent point.  We Independents  thought the “Tea Parties” were a good idea until the Republicans  claimed them as their own.  We don’t like them any better than the current administration.  They would like us to think it only the current administration we are protesting and we are on their side.  That is how they are trying to position this. any and frustration by the public about how things are going in this country.

The author continues “  Likewise, Republican challengers should be prepared to criticize both parties for the problems we are facing now.” 

We that would be, in our opinion, very good advise for the Republicans. But I don’t think they see it that way.

Elections to the United States Senate will be held on November 2, 2010, for at least 36 of the 100 seats in the US Senate according to Wikipedia.  Check out their Guide to US Senate elections of 2010.  It seems to be very useful.